Book Idea Validation Mastery

Book-Idea-Validation

There is nothing more frustrating than writing a book and finding out later that no one will buy it…or that the sales drop after a couple of months.

Even after all of your marketing efforts, begging friends and doing promotion site pushes, there it sits with no sales and no movement.

But the truth is, it doesn’t have to be this way.

You CAN do some mastery level research to validate your idea and ensure there is a hungry market for what you want to write BEFORE you write it. This will help ensure your book idea will succeed and you’ll have sales.

Now, in Kindlepreneur fashion, I’m not talking about some wishy-washy tactic like “go to the store and look at what’s selling.”

I’m talking about some real number crunching, full detailed data that can give you a simple go-no-go criteria.

Therefore, in this article, I’m going to show you the exact process that I take every time I go to research a book idea as well as the following:

  • How to perform book market research
  • Validate your book ideas
  • Choose kindle keywords
  • Gain Book discoverability and keep it that way

And don’t worry, while this may be a mastery level stuff, it’s been laid out so that anyone can take it and apply it.

However, if you’d like to skip all of that and use a simple tool that will do all of the below in seconds, then click here.  PS: I created that tool so I’m a little biased.

What it Takes to Make a Book a Good Idea

So what does it mean when someone says a book is a good idea?

There are contextual pieces to this equation like it being a topic you are passionate about or a topic you really know. But for the purpose of this article, we’re going to focus solely on the marketing aspect of the idea and whether or not it can turn a profit.

So the real question should be: Is this a book idea that I can sell.

Now, famous people like Gary Vaynerchuk or Tony Robbins can sell just about any book. Because of their pre-existing fame, platform, and reach, all they need to do is write a book, and engage their fans…which for them, equates to instant best-seller and multi-million dollar profits.

But, sadly, that’s not us…or at least not yet.

Instead, most of us must depend on creating a book that is discoverable and has a unique positioning without hordes of competition.

To get that, you need your book idea to have the following three criteria:

Pre-existing Market: A pre-existing market is proof that people are actively looking for your book. They are searching the internet and trying to find the subject you are thinking about writing.

Proof that the market is willing to pay: There are many things out there that people type in that they don’t intend to pay for. Sometimes they do, but they find they can get it for free somewhere else. With this, you want to verify that your idea is profitable and the market is willing to pay you what you think it is worth.

Low enough competition: Even if there is a hungry market that is willing to pay for your book, if there is too much competition or the competition is too good, then your idea will sink. A book on “How to Lose Weight” may have lots of people willing to pay for it, but your book will never be discovered in the sea of other “How to Lose Weight” books.

Sounds like a lot, but don’t be discouraged because I have a process and tool that will help you collect the above information and help you make an informed decision on whether or not your book idea will make you money.

We’re talking about real numbers so as to make real good decisions.

Book Idea Research: Step-By-Step Guide

The following steps are the exact steps I ‘used’ to take – before my software was created – to figure out whether or not a book will sell. I say “used to” because I created a software that will do all of the following and more in seconds:

Step 1: Create an Excel Sheet

The rest of my steps will be pretty number intensive. Therefore, we need to ensure we have an appropriate means in order to organize our information.

You’ll want to create headers for:

  • Keyword
  • Google Searches per Month
  • Amazon Best Seller Rank for the 1st book
  • Books sold per day for 1st book
  • Amazon Best Seller Rank for the 2nd book
  • Books sold per day for the 2nd book
  • Amazon Best Seller Rank for the 3rd book
  • Your Opinion On How Hard it would be to beat
To make this easier for you, go ahead and click the button below and download a free excel template that has the above plus some equations programed inside of it…much easier that way.Click here to download.
Download it Here!

Step 2: How Many People Search For Your Book Idea?

First and foremost, you need to know if people are actively looking for your book subject or target phrase. But how do you do that?

For this step, we’ll use a free tool that will tell you how many people per month type a phrase into Google. I know, I know….Google and Amazon are different but understand that there is a correlation between Google Traffic and Amazon Traffic. It’s easy to say that if people are typing into Google a certain phrase, then they are probably typing it in Amazon at a relative level.

In order to get the estimated Amazon searches per month, you’ll need my latest software, KDP Rocket, which will do exactly that. It will tell you how many people per month type certain phrases into Amazon – which is powerful.  But that software uses super nerdy data, our own algorithm and other aspects in order to create that number – something our excel sheet can’t handle.

So, back to Google to help us understand whether or not there is online traffic for that term:

To use the better Google related tool called KW Finder, first, go to KWFinder.com and then type your book term in the search bar (PS: you get the first 2 searches for free per day)

KWFinder Keyword search for books

Using this, you can see the number of people per month that type into Google that exact phrase you entered.

EXTRA BONUS POINTS: The column marked “SEO” is a 1-100 number that depicts the level of competition a keyword phrase has in getting ranked on Google. 0-20 is easy to rank, 20-30 requires some decent SEO knowledge, 30-40 requires a master, and >40 requires a guru and or a professional agency.  In my software, KDP Rocket, we did the same thing for Amazon so as to help you figure out if you can beat the book competition.

Step 3: Find Out if the Idea is Profitable

I made the mistake once of forgetting this step. I had a high demand Google Keyword phrase with low competition. However, it turns out it wasn’t the type where people would pay for the information….double whammy!

Therefore, to verify whether or not the topic or phrase is profitable, you’ll want to:

Step 1. Type your potential book idea phrase into Amazon for Kindle

Amazon Keyword search bar

Step 2. Select the top 14 books (number of books that show up on the first page of the Amazon search results) and find their Amazon Best Seller Rank (ABSR), price, and Number of reviews.

Amazon Best Seller Rank number location

Step 3. Take the ABSR number and place it in my free Amazon Best Seller Rank Calculator. This will tell you how many books are sold per day.

Step 4. Multiply the number of books sold per day by the price of the book and “30” so as to give a rough estimate of how much money the book is bringing in per month – yeah, I know there are months that don’t have 30 days…but let’s just keep it simple 😉

(Number of Books Sold Per Day) X (Price) X (30) = Estimate Revenue Per Month

Step 5. Now, do the above for all 14 books that were selected. Add up all the Earnings Per Day and divide by 14 so as to get the top 14 average earnings per day for that group.

(Add up all Earnings per Day)/14 = Average Earnings for that Search Phrase

Step 6. Now ask yourself if that seems like a good number.

PS: KDP Rocket will pull all this data for you with a click of a button and allow you to access the book cover, individual reviews and more.

Step 4. How Hard is the Competition

So, by now, we should know relatively how many searches are made for the phrase, and whether or not it is profitable. We now need to figure out if the competition is too great and whether or not we can get our book in a position to beat the others.

Step 1. Record the number of search results that appear for the phrase.  To do this, type in the phrase in Amazon and look for the number of results that show up:

Number of Kindle keyword competitors for ninja books for kids

Step 2. Take the ABSR of each of top three books and average them together.

Step 3. Take the ABSR of the top 14 books and average them together.

Step 4. Finally, look at the book covers, the happiness of the customers, descriptions, etc and give the book a grade from 1-100 with one being terrible and you could be it and 100 meaning perfect in every way like Mary Poppins.  This will be our Quality competition analysis.

By having these four numbers, you’ll be able to compare the competitiveness of this phrase or book idea both quantitatively and qualitatively.

Going back to the information you’re recording on your excel sheet, let’s look at the ABSR of the first book. Our goal should be to outrank that book because the book that ranks #1 for a phrase gets the most sales.

But sometimes a niche/idea/phrase is just too juicy and ranking #2-6 is sufficient for enough sales to warrant writing the book as well. That’s why I’ve included Step 2 and 3.

So, what constitutes what is too competitive as compared to good enough? Well that depends on many factors to include:

  • How many searches per month for that book idea: Is there enough room?
  • Quality of the Titles and subtitle: Are they optimized for showing up for that phrase?
  • Quality of the Book Cover: Are they super ugly and easy to beat?
  • Quality of their description and sales copy: Are they masters?
  • The author, their fame and legitimacy: Hopefully Tony Robbins isn’t one of your competitors

If you don’t know how to rate the above, don’t worry about it if you’re using KDP Rocket.  We actually took most of that information and created a competitive score for you. That way, you can use our intuition and experience to figure out if its easy or too competitive.

Step 5. Rinse and Repeat

Most likely you didn’t strike gold on your first try. Therefore, rinse and repeat. You can either go in a completely different direction, narrow down your search, and look at what Amazon suggests.

Completely Different Direction: Sometimes you can just see the writing on the wall you and know that its just a bad idea – congrats then, because your research just stopped you from wasting a lot of time writing a really good book that the market doesn’t want.

Narrow Down Your Search: What will most likely be the case is that as you start looking at books in your category, you’ll start to find out that you can niche down and get more specific…this will help you reduce your level of competition, but will also reduce the level of traffic as well. But hey, what’s better 1% of 1000 or 40% of 100?

To get ideas on how to niche down, you’ll want Amazon to assist you. Have you noticed that when you go to type in a phrase into Amazon’s search box, it gives you suggestions? It gives those suggestions because it knows what people have typed into it.

So, start writing and see what Amazon suggests. Take a couple and repeat the processes above to see if any are a winner:

Amazon Keyword Suggestion tool for ninja books

Also, don’t forget about Google.   The tools like KWFinder and Google Keyword Planner will also give you some juicy suggestions that you might never have thought of.

KDP Rocket Tool: Easier, Faster, and Better

Okay, I may be a little biased since I designed it. But guess what? I made it so that you could do the above much more efficiently and effective. Plus, because of API tools, and some master level algo additions, it can also do the following, which my steps above can’t do:

  • Tells you relatively how many people per month type something into Amazon
  • Gives you a much better understanding of the competition
  • Tells you how competitive a term is
  • Gives clear go-no-go results for writing your next book
  • 100x faster than the process above
  • Updated regularly to reflect the ever-changing values of Amazon
  • No excel sheet required

Yeah, that’s pretty stellar, right? Let’s see some of it in action:

The best part is that it is only $97 for lifetime access!

However, soon, I’ll be making it a subscription.  So lock in your lifetime access now for the low cost of $97 today.

So, if you want better and faster data and criteria on whether or not your book idea will be a success, then KDP Rocket is the best publishing tool out there for just that.

So, check it out and let me know what you think.

So What’s Next

Whether or not you use the lightening fast and bodaciously awesome KDP Rocket – yeah, I’m biased – or the steps listed above, we authors need to do our research. We can no longer just wing it because there are now over 4.7 million books on Kindle.

Now, the steps above don’t promise success. But just like any business, no matter who they are, will take certain measures to ensure they can answer the above questions and provide actionable data in order to make that critical decision.

You as an author have the ability to research the potential of your book idea and can now decide whether or not to move forward on the subject.

Cheers,

Dave-Signature

  • Awesome Dave! I am loving KDP rocket! 1 question : I was doing it the old way with goog’s keyword planner and noticed a big difference in the searches per month. Is that because google s default search is averaged over the year and Kdrocket is not? Also Merchant words has different results?? . Great job all around !!

    • Hey Eric, yeah, we had to use another API than Google’s for KDP Rocket because Google doesn’t give out APIs to non-Adwords agencies anymore. Instead the new one is a little lagging in updating but…that’s not exactly a bad thing. Just recently, many SEO’ers are saying that Google is hiding information now. As for merchant words, they claim to scrape Amazon, but I’m not sure about that.

  • Max

    Good post Dave!! About the books…. what is the secret to have 3 categories using createspace? Much of my books topics have rank around 20.000 (10 sales per day) and I have seen that the competitors with this rank have 3 categories.

    • Hey Max, sorry for getting back to you so late. With 3 categories, its pretty hit or miss. However, I have seen the following things that affect it and increase your chances of getting 3 categories:
      1. High popularity
      2. You contacted them and requested a specific category (you can find the instructions on how to do this and why on this article: https://kindlepreneur.com/how-to-unlock-the-secret-kindle-categories/

  • Ayodeji Awosika

    Great post Dave,

    I’m going to have to look into your software when I’m ready to write the next book. I’m glad you still offered these detailed steps in addition to mentioning your software.

    • That sounds great. I’m a firm believer of providing information as well as solutions to easier methods. Plus, the above really shows the level of depth I used to go through to find niche keywords and topics to write about. I personally happy to have KDP Rocket so I don’t have to do all those steps anymore.

  • Lisa

    I love this! I will keep this in mind when I am researching for my recipe e-book. Hoping to have one released by next April!

    Personally, I know what direction to go into but it is very competitive. Might just have to narrow it down. :/

    • Hi Lisa, I know what you mean. But keep in mind that as you begin, this isn’t just a hunt for keywords. This also helps you to discover that niche, AND the words to use to connect with THAT market. 😉

  • Helen S. Fletcher

    Hi Dave – I just went on KWFinder and it allows 2 free searches in 24 hours not 5. It probably changed since you wrote the article. However, the first search yielded good results for my title. Thanks for the informative post.

    • Hi Helen…oh. Great find. I’ll now updated the information to reflect that.

dave2

Hey Guys, I’m Dave and when I am not sipping tea with princesses or chasing the Boogey man out of closets, I’m a Kindlepreneur and digital marketing nut – it’s my career, hobby, and passion.

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